Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.083528 0.132396 0.191000 0.263874 0.349851 0.446213 0.560672
2026-02-08 0.017509 0.060706 0.130307 0.233215 0.369664 0.535713 0.745659
2026-02-15 0.002288 0.033230 0.103821 0.223763 0.395413 0.614385 0.900435
2026-02-22 NaN 0.019978 0.091554 0.228870 0.436873 0.710904 1.076511
2026-03-01 NaN 0.010042 0.077526 0.226060 0.463877 0.786490 1.224915
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002944 0.060036 0.211813 0.470869 0.833500 1.335749
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001906 0.062212 0.233671 0.532215 0.954028 1.541458
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001205 0.064685 0.255909 0.594290 1.075935 1.749578
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000391 0.062699 0.268185 0.640505 1.176083 1.929726
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000327 0.068688 0.297883 0.714869 1.315781 2.162231
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000097 0.069852 0.316769 0.771934 1.431621 2.363885
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063735 0.318157 0.800193 1.507016 2.512460
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047583 0.293189 0.785562 1.524268 2.588392
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.031402 0.260895 0.755457 1.517981 2.632524
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024359 0.250776 0.762009 1.563370 2.744762
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.022274 0.256227 0.796533 1.650016 2.913217
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018349 0.253233 0.814925 1.712497 3.048730
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012419 0.238057 0.809029 1.737898 3.133057
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.014723 0.261331 0.877583 1.876233 3.373338
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.017138 0.284948 0.946869 2.015840 3.615643
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.017306 0.297963 0.995741 2.124710 3.815854
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.021424 0.329386 1.080296 2.287780 4.091025
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.023060 0.349330 1.142802 2.417664 4.320738